Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Since 2020 circumstances have changed

With regards to Scotland  independence referendum, a British Conservative polician, Michael Gove, recently said Scotland is disrespecting the 2014 referendum results, considering that Scottish people already held a referendum. Actually, as Mr. Gove mentioned, the 2014 independence referendum would be "once in a generation event", and Scotland agreed on this point. But since 2020 circumstances have changed because Scotland will be out of both the Single Market and the Custom union. In other words, Scottish people will be out of the EU against their will.
It is easy to see the 2016 Brexit referendum's results changed everything, and only 37% of the electorate voted leave or remain in the Single Market. In addition, not one person born in the XXI century voted in favour of leaving the EU.

Consequently, as it is known, the UK Constitutional principles, the international law, and the Self-determination principle gives the right to the Scottish people to hold another independence referendum, considering that since 2020 circumstances have changed.

That's the reason why if Mr. Michael Gove and his political followers continued to talk about the disrespect of the results of the 2014 Scottish referendum, people might get a wrong idea. 

Tuesday, 7 January 2020

The World cannot afford another war

It has been an unsettling first few days of a new decade from a geopolitical point of view, as the Iranian Revolution Guard commander, Qassem Solemaini, died in a US air strike on Friday, 3rd  January. Actually, tensions escalated after an Iranian-backed group  killed a US contractor on the Iraqi territory one week ago.
While the US President was trying to justify the killing, Iran promised retaliations and warned serious consequences. That's the reason why the US Democratic Senate leader, Chuck Schumer, said this action may trigger another endless war, exactly the kind of endless war that the President promised he would avoid.
At the moment the Middle East is home of more than 50,000 US soldiers, most located in Qatar. According to some experts, the Trump Administration do not understand that Iranian armed forces are not the same as we saw in the late 1970s during the Iran-Iraq war. In addition, Teheran could be able to trigger a war outside the Middle East Region, considering its good relationship with other powers located on the Asian Continent.
As mentioned by the UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres, the world cannot afford to have another war in the Middle East Region, considering that there are already  battlegroungs  in Syria, Libya, and Yemen.
It seems that the Trump Administration is going to make the same mistake that both President Bush and President Obana made before him. After the US had destroyed the two leaders in Iraq and Libya, Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi, they lost huge human resources and destabilized the two Islamic countries.